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Prep to Campaign, Condi Rice - 5 central themes F.A. Jan/Feb 2000 |
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Definition
1. Ensure that US can deter war, project power, fight in defense of US interests 2. Promote economic growth and pol openness by extending free trade and intl monetary system 3. Renew relationship with allies who share US values 4. Focus on comprehensive relationships with big powers, particularly Russia and China, that can mold character international political system 5. Deal decisively with rouge regimes and hostile powers (terrorism and weapons of mass destruction singled out for mention) |
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Bush team espoused "realism" Bush promises a "humble" foreign policy with "moral" clarity Criticized Clinton/Gore for being too interventionist - extending US troops for nation building Wants reduced involvement in nation building US troops are over-extended But support Clinton's use of force in Kosnovo - won't set deadline for troops to come back |
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During the campaign - country relations |
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Proposes withdrawal of ground forces from peacekeeping in Balkans Advocates refocusing on the neighborhood - better relations with LA (supports NAFTA) Argue that Washington's relationship with Beijing "is going to change from strategic partner to one of competitor, but can agree over trade) Support cutting off aid to Russia during Chechen War Sees China and Russia as competitors, not adversaries Signals preference for prompt deployment of missile defense |
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During the campaign - China |
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Argues for permanent normal trade relations w/ PRC Supports China's entry into WTO But supports Taiwan if attacked |
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During the campaign - Russia and China |
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McCain sees Putin as "ruthless, ex-Communist apparatchik" Bush: "it's too early to tell." seek to rebuild strained relations |
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During the campaign - Signals preference for prompt deployment of National Missile Defense |
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Definition
Since 1983 - many on right continued to push for Strat Missile Defense Tempo increases when Republicans capture House in 1994 and Senate in 1996 But loopholes needed to get law passed for indefinite postponement. Pres Clinton signed legislation On Jul 23, 1999, Clinton set out 4 criteria by which to judge whether missile defense was feasible: threat, cost, tech performance, and adherence to ABM as renegotiated with Russia On 9/1/2000, he said that tech did not yet justify deployment, so postponed to the next president |
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Assumes Presidency in 2001 |
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Definition
Bush has little foreign policy experience But heads team with significant F.P./Sec Pol experience VP Cheney - Sec assist to Rumsfeld, Pres Ford's CoS, congressman from WY Sec State Powell - 35 years of mil experience, adv to Pres Reagan for Natl Security Sec Def Rumsfeld - Sec Def under Ford, US Amb to NATO, US Cong from Illinois Advisor to Pres on Nat. Security Condi - great experience on for and sec issues, member for Center for Intl Security and Arms Control, Special Assistants Rumsfeld, Condi, and Cheney all neo-cons |
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Critical of US Foreign Policy of both Bush sr. and Clinton after Cold War Opposed reduction in military expansion Feels like policy lacked idealism Failed to promote US interests Felt that there was a fault of leaving Saddam in power in 1991 in not supporting Kurds and Shiites Pushing for removal of Saddam Support of Republic of China and not People's Rep of China World in permanent struggle of good and evil America closest to moral good Suspicious of negotiations - even with allies Prefer unilateral efforts - lest it subject power to those that can bring good Hard power over soft - willingness to use mil power Suspicious of international law Confident action will result in support from others |
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Believes in restrained foreign policy Criticized by neo-cons for lack of good support for Israel Re-emphasizes rejection of nation building Favors security cooperation to cooperative security |
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But perhaps neo-con pull being felt |
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Definition
Rejects Kyoto Protocol (Dec 11, 1997) Missile defense a big issue |
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December 11, 1997 Designed to reduce greenhouse gases Bush refused to sent to Congress for ratifications |
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Neo-con pull: Missile defense a big issue |
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Definition
Big issue with Project 4 New Amer Century May Day 2001 - in speech at National Defense Unit: Bush says that he wants to replace ABM treaty with BMD Spring/Summer 2001- prepare for deployment of ground-based mid-course missile defense system, perhaps at Fort Greenly or Kodiak Island (test place) 7/14/2001: Pentagon conducted 1 simple decoy which public was given to be successful Test conducted under non-representative conditions Program Director Ronald Kadish "early indication that everything worked" Revealed that radar designed to assess hit and failed 12/3/01: Bush give 6 mo. required notice saying that US wants to withdraw from ABM treaty - say that need to defend launches against terrorists and rogue states Demos/some repubs, allies, and Russia protest And on Iraq, perhaps neo-con influence felt earlier – at 1st NSC mtg Jan 01 |
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Bush's policies change dramatically Immediately announces to his advisors "we are at war" That evening announces what would be known as the Bush Doctrine "We will make no distinction between terrorists who committed these acts and those that harbor them" Oct 7, US begins as mil ops in Afghanistan Today over 100 K troops |
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Came to include different elements Preventative war: US should dispose foreign regimes that represented a potential or perceived threat to American security, even if it's not that immediate March 2003- America invades Iraq Spread of democracy around the world: around the world, especially in Middle East, as a strategy of combatting terrorism Willingness to act unilaterally: Some of these policies were elucidated in National Security Strategy in 2002 |
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National Security Strategy in 2002 |
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Definition
"Our goals on the path are clear: political and economic freedom, peaceful relations with other states, and respect for human dignity" Champion human dignity Strengthen alliances Work to defuse regional conflicts Prevent WMD threats to allies and friends Grow through free markets and trade Build democracy Cooperate with global centers of power Transform national security structures "People everywhere want to enjoy the benefits of their labor" - great emphasis of human rights |
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On championing human dignity |
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Definition
Jan 2002: declared Axis of Evil: Iraq, North Korea, and Iran Pushed for regime change in Iran, NK, Sudan, South Africa, China Ignored Iran Pres Mohammad Khatami's willingness to discuss nuke research, support for militant groups, recognize Israel's right to exist Enter Mahmoud Ahmadinejad in 2005 |
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On preventative war, Bush claimed |
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Definition
Saddam Hussein is a threat to peace, is in collusion with Al-Qaeda, had WMD and didn't use them, is reconstituting nuke program, could have a nuke weapon in a year We cannot wait for proof - that smoking gun that turn into a mushroom cloud March 19, 2003: US invades Iraq |
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On unilateral action: Afghanistan |
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Definition
US had broad support from international community German Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder calls attacks "declaration of war on whole civilized war" Le Monde - "we are all Americans now" NATO invokes Art V Bush declares global war on terrorism Bin Laden never captured Al-Qaeda still remained a threat |
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On unilateral action: Iraq |
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Definition
Many nations supported UN did not endorse Key allies (Fr and Ger) failed to support Afghan and Iraq dogged Bush for rest of presidency US fails to prepare for situation after direct military confrontation in Iraq Iraq WMD threat exposed as mirage Stable gov in Iraq - illusive sectarian conflict advances Though surge of 30 K troops reduced violence in 2008 Captured enemy fighter combatants and became a domestic and international trial (trials and treatment) Abuse event 2004-2006: Guantanamo Afghan and Iraq became most important foreign policy issues of Bush presidency |
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On working with others to defuse regional conflicts: Middle East |
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Definition
After 9/11 Israel hailed as indispensable ally But US remains aloof from conflict US arranges Sharon-Abbas summit Offers road map to peace Need compromises but x 2006 Hamas majority 2007 Gaza war |
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On working on with others to defuse regional conflicts: Cuba |
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Definition
relations remain frozen Bush Admin - pursued hardline policy, tightened sanctions, refuses help from Cuba in housing prisoners in Guantanamo, accused Cuba of state sponsored terrorism, Rejects changes in relations following 2008 change in presidency to Raul Castro |
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On working with other to defuse regional conflicts: Mexico and elsewhere in Latin America |
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Definition
Mexico: Relations soared Elsewhere: many liberal leaders come to power Some friendly relations: Brazil, Chile Some hostile: Bolivia and Venezuela |
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On working with others to defuse regional conflicts: North Korea |
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Definition
1990- discovery of enough plutonium to make atomic bombs 1994 - Clinton accord signed (North Korea halts new weapons programs, US provide 4B in energy aid) 1998 - NK test missile Bush vetoes bi-lateral talks 2001 - calls Kim Jung Il a pygmy who acts like a spoiled child while starving his people in a gulag the size of Houston 2002 - axis of evil 2003 - six party talks: bear little fruit 2006 - NK tests a nuc (UN approves sanctions - SC res 1718, no nuke test ballistic missile launch but can do satellite) 2007 - NK agrees to terminate nuke program 2009 - renounces its plan to abandon nukes |
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On working with others to defuse regional conflicts: Pakistan |
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Definition
a nuclear weapons state seen aiding Taliban US concerned some pakistanis may funnel nukes to terrorists 2004 AQ Khan provided Iran, Libya, NK illegal nuke assistance 2007 mounting instability and violence |
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On working with others to defuse regional conflict: India |
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Definition
Nuke weapon state Keep India close approach Budding entente Bush provide aid toward technology |
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On working with others to defuse regional conflicts: China |
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Definition
Strategic competitor during 2000 pres campaign Neo-cons see as major econ/mil threat to us But admin reluctant to undermine thriving trade relationship Mini crisis of 2011: US and Chinese planes collided on Hainan Island Continue to offer arms to Taiwan but minimize impact US support WTO membership Colin Powell - 2002 promises constructive and cooperative relationship Beijing plays key role in dealing with North Korea Buy policies diverges |
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4.01 EP 3E ELINT air craft collided with Chinese interceptor Chinese pilot killed EP 3E lands on Hainan Island Crew returned after 10 days and letter of 2 sorrows (death of Chinese pilot, entering Chinese air space and landing without permission) Plane eventually returned disassembled |
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On working with others to defuse regional conflict: Russia |
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Definition
Seeks productive relationship 2001 Bush meets Putin (straightforward and trust worthy, got a sense of his soul, thought of US as a partner, special responsibility of maintaining world peace and security, any unilateral action would complicate process, difficult discussion of NATO and missile) Support US in Afghan Opposes US invasion of Iraq Reported to have given Russian equivalent of finger when asked by Taliban for help Nukes and BMDs Bush called AMD treaty: relic of old war 2002 reverses his position - signed strategic offensive treaty in Moscow US reduce its arms to 1700-2200 |
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Russia's unhappiness with NATO |
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Definition
Over NATO of Ukraine and Georgia Over plans for missile defense bases in Poland and CZ Fear effort of encircle Suspends CFE treaty in 2007 (treaty initially signed in 1990, troops withdraw from Moldova, Georgia and Baltic states not covered in treaty) |
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Kremlin supposedly involved in |
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Definition
2004 dioxin position of former Ukraine pres 2006 apparent assassination of former KGB intel officer in England Violence and threats against human rights defenders 2008 Russia attacked Georgia Russia concerned over US willingness to use force to solve any problem |
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On cooperating with other main centers of power |
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Definition
Bush rejected Kyoto Protocol on global warming, International Criminal Court, Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty, Non-proliferation of small arms and light weapons, protocols to verify chem and bio weapons, ABM Treaty |
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Definition
1. Firm commitment to human dignity 2. Strengthen alliances with friends to defeat global terrorism, works to prevent attacks on US and friends 3. If violence erupts or states falter, US will work with friends and partners to alleviate suffering and restore stability 4. Prevent adversaries from threatening US, allies, friends 5. US will seek to ignite new era of global econ growth through free markets and trade 6. US will develop agendas for cooperative action w/ other main centers of global power |
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1. Firm commitment to human dignity |
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Definition
Rule of law, free speech, limit on absolute power of state, religious and ethnic tolerance, respect for women, respect for property, equal justice under law Foreign Policy Implications: US will speak out to violations against human dignity Use withhold foreign aid to advance (not giving as much money to UN Nations Pop Fund - supposedly support abortion in China) Make freedom and development of democracy key themes in bi and multilateral efforts (support pro-demo efforts in Ukraine, Kazakhstan and Azer leaders welcome to White House but Bush urges democracy) However on rule of law, Bush doesn't join ICC (origin 2002) |
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2. Strengthen alliances to defeat global terrorism; work to prevent attacks on US and friends |
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Definition
Terrorism = "premeditated, politically motivated violence - perpetuated against innocents" US recog that legit grievances exist but no cause justify terrorism US 1st priority: focus on T orgs with global reach and Ts that require WMD Foreign Policy Implications: US will seek support of intl community but will not hesitate to act alone and preemptively Bush works with NATO/Eur to fight Taliban in Afghan But fails to unite Europe in US efforts in Iraq. Coalition of 38 countries does not include Fr, Ger, Russia, and China. Does not get formal approval from UN |
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3. If violence erupts or state falters, US will work with friends and allies to alleviate suffering and restore stability |
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Definition
US will invest resources in building intl relationships to help manage US will recognize that resources are finite Foreign policy implications: dependence on allies, priority on those who help themselves, but also after a slow start, Bush signals in resumption of peace talks between Israel and Palestine (proclaims desire for Palestinian state, outlines road map for peace, but denounces PLO Arafat, by beginning of 04 plan seems dead, Apr 04 - Bush supports PM Sharon's plan to disengage from Gaza, but keeps settlements in West Bank |
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Before the events of 9/11, what was the Bush administration’s attitude toward al-Qaeda? |
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Definition
Thought they were chump change (Condi). Not someone you would need to worry about, with 9/11 we knew what but not where |
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What evidence was available prior to the 9/11 attack that might have been acted upon in order to prevent/mitigate the attack? |
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For private reasons we weren’t connecting the dots, knew about an attack, it wasn’t taken seriously though |
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Bush’s national security team, named after Roman God of fire, impressive team, has a secretary of defense (Dick Cheney); Cheney is a congressman from Wyoming, chief of staff under President Ford, C Rice as National Security Advisor - really bright lady, brings in Colin Powell as secretary of state - was as Reagan’s national security advisor |
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What was the “de-Baathification” of Iraq and what was its effect? |
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Definition
Baathist are a minority sect, those were guys in power, what we decide to do is rid the government of them, we do away with the army |
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