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non-rational decision making |
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times when you won't go through finding all the possible decisions and select the best one; the world does not always play by the rules and decisions are often made with limited information |
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short-cutting; narrowing choices down to the most logical choice; limited to be rational b/c of many constraints |
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least complex/simplest solution that meets basic needs and is affordable; seek options until they find one that is satisfactory, not optimal |
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managers take small, short-term steps to solve problems--did everything they could then demanded to get a new one |
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making a guess/decision without using conscious thought --> used most; do what feels right |
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non-rational decision making |
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1) bounded rationality & satisficing 2) incremental model 3) intuition model |
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barriers to decision making |
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availability bias confirmation bias representativeness bias sunk-cost bias anchoring escalation of commitment bias |
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using only available the information; comes from memory |
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seeking information that supports one point of view; ignores info. that does not support it |
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making decisions using a small sample of information |
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a situation is too costly to abandon |
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making decisions based on the first information you get |
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escalation of commitment bias |
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having to admit that you're wrong |
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a discrepancy b/t ideal and actual conditions |
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choosing b/t alternatives |
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repetitive, routine choices (managers like to make these decisions in advance) |
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unusual or infrequent choices |
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reacting appropriately to a decision; evaluate info; is it a high priority?; deciding how fast you should act |
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reacting inappropriately to a decision; take no action (relaxed avoidance); ignore any negative consequence; relaxed change; defense avoidance; panic |
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taking first alternative that is low risk |
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do something that is unrealistic; just do something (irrational) |
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personalty & cognitive intelligence |
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"I like risks and I'm really bright." |
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intuition (based on experience) |
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"I can read people great and control my emotions." |
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"The IT group is feeding me great stuff." |
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"What does my boss want me to decide?" |
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"Looks like a sure thing." |
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"Our backs are to the wall, and we disagree." |
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"Let's wait before deciding." |
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