Term
What is the Exposure (E)? |
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Definition
Independent variable that may determine the chance (risk) of getting a Dz. Can be measured via questionnaires, blood tests, chart reviews, etc. Measurement may be problematic if over a long period of time. |
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Term
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Definition
Dependent variable. Any deviation from health. This is more straightforward because we can rely on a Dx. However, the definition of the Dz is important and is based on the research question. |
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Term
What are the most commonly used Study Designs? |
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Definition
1. Cohort (follow-up) 2. Case control 3. Clinical Trial (Gold Standard for causation) |
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Term
What are causes of a non-null RR? |
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Definition
Chance, bias, confounding, and causation |
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Term
When can you conclude causation? |
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Definition
When you can eliminate confounding, chance and bias as possible explanations. |
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Term
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Definition
The occurrence of NEW cases of Dz in a population of interest in a stated time period. Equation: I = (New Cases)/(# of People at risk) |
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Term
Define Cumulative Incidence of Risk (CI) |
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Definition
States what proportion of the subjects under study got the Dz X within the observation period T Equation: CI = (# of new cases over T)/(population at risk) |
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Term
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Definition
The "commonness" of Dz in a given population at a stated point in time Equation: P = (# with Dz)/(# of people at risk) |
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Term
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Definition
Simply the incidence rate of death Equation: M = (# of new deaths)/(person-T) |
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Term
Define Cause Fatality Rate |
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Definition
Not a rate at all, it is a cumulative incidence (risk) of death |
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Term
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Definition
The probability of staying alive for a specific length of time Equation: S = (total pts - dead pts)/(total pts) |
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Term
Define Strength of Association |
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Definition
A small association does not mean that there is not a causal effect. When you have two intervals (continuous variables), Pearson's correlation coefficient (r) is used to measure the strength of the association. |
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Term
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Definition
Consistent findings observed by different persons in different places with different samples strengthens the likelihood of an effect. Large N's, multiple centers |
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Term
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Definition
The more specific an association between a factor and an effect is, the bigger the probability of the causal relationship. Causation is likely if a very specific population at specific site and Dz with no other likely explanation. |
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Term
Define Temporal Relationships |
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Definition
Effect has to occur after the cause |
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Term
Define Biological Gradient |
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Definition
Greater exposure should generally lead to greater incidence of the effect |
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Term
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Definition
A plausible mechanism between cause and effect |
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Term
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Definition
Laboratory findings, lack of such evidence cannot nullify the epidemiological affect on associations |
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Term
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Definition
The effect of similar factors may be considered |
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Term
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Definition
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Term
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Definition
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Term
Equation for Positive Predictive Value |
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Definition
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Term
Equation for Negative Predictive Value |
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Definition
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Term
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Definition
Sensitivity/(1-Specificity) |
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Term
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Definition
(1-Specificity)/Sensitivity |
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Term
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Definition
Likelihood ratio for a positive test result is the probability of a positive test result for a person WITH the Dz of interest divided by the probability of a positive test for a person WITHOUT the Dz. Large LR+ values indicate better diagnostic value of the test (<10) |
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Term
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Definition
Likelihood ratio for a negative test result is the probability of a negative test result for a person with the Dz of interest divided by the probability of a negative test result for a person without the Dz. Small LR- values indicate better diagnostic value of the test (<0.1) |
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Term
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Definition
A variable that distorts the apparent relationship between an exposure and a Dz of interest |
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Term
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Definition
A systematic error in a study that arises from mixing of the effect of the exposure of interest with other associated correlates of the Dz outcome |
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Term
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Definition
Nonrandom error in a study that leads to a distorted result |
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Term
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Definition
Sample distorted by selection process; cases/controls/both |
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Term
What is Information Bias? |
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Definition
Misclassifications of the variables |
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Term
What is Misclassification Bias? |
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Definition
Incorrect characterization of the status of subjects with regard to study variable, leading to a distorted conclusion |
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Term
What is Differential Misclassification? |
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Definition
Incorrect categorization of the status of subjects with regard to one variable (exposure) that is unrelated to another characteristic of interest (Dz status) |
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Term
What is Non-Differential Misclassification? |
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Definition
Incorrect categorization of the status of subjects with regard to one variable (exposure) that is unrelated to another characteristic of interest (Dz status) |
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Term
What is Ecological Fallacy? |
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Definition
Fallacy assumes that individual members of a group have the AVERAGE characteristics of a group at large (stereotypes) |
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Term
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Definition
Cases are more likely than controls to over-report |
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Term
What is Confidence Interval? |
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Definition
The correct interpretation of a study with a 95% confidence interval which is (-0.81 -- +1.41) is as follows: Crosses 1 (truth) - anytime the confidence interval crosses 1, it is not usually significant |
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Term
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Definition
The point on the scale of a measure of association that corresponds to no association (1 for the risk ratio and odds ratio and 0 for the risk difference and the attributable risk %) |
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Term
What is the Null Hypothesis? |
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Definition
Null is necessary for statistical testing and possibly conceptually and for keeping causality in perspective. --All swans are white. |
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Term
What are the 3 Steps of a Manuscript Review? |
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Definition
1. Read the manuscript thoroughly 2. Wait... 3. Review Manuscript |
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Term
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Definition
1. Process of analyzing data 2. Description of a field of study 3. Data or numbers |
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Term
Describe the Types of Data |
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Definition
Nominal: dichotomous, binary, or categorical Ordinal: stages Numerical: continuous |
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Term
Describe the Measures of Control Tendency |
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Definition
Mean: average of observations Median: the middle observation Mode: most common value Distributions: Symmetric- same shape on both sides of mean (use mean); Skewed- not the same shape (use median) |
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Term
Describe the Measures of Spread |
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Definition
Range: difference between smallest and largest Standard Deviation: measure of spread of data about their mean Variance: the square of the standard deviation. Measures the "spread" of a distribution |
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Term
Describe the Confidence Interval |
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Definition
A range (interval) around point estimate. Helps determine the "reliability" of an estimate. CI - based on mean of population, distribution, statistic, and standard error. Used when comparing between two groups, it is a measure of how "confident" we are that the statistics are TRUTH. If CI passes 1, it means it is less reliable; if it doesn't pass 1, it's the truth |
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Term
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Definition
The probability of observing a result as extreme or more extreme than the one actually observed from chance alone (if the null is true). Takes into account the mean and variance of a distribution and estimates how "likely" or "unlikely" your observed outcome is. Statistical significance: usually defined as p<0.05 --Smaller P value = stronger association --Larger the sample size = smaller the P value |
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Term
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Definition
A statement about a population -Test a null hypothesis (Ho) and an alternative hypothesis (H0 or H1) -Alternative Hypothesis: what do we believe to be true if the null is rejected |
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Term
What are the steps to testing a Hypothesis? |
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Definition
1. Evaluate data 2. Review Assumptions 3. State hypothesis 4. Select test statistic 5. Determine distribution of test statistic 6. State decision rule 7. Calculate test statistic 8. Make decision 9. Conclusion: Have we found the truth |
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Term
What is a Type I error? Type II? |
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Definition
Type I: false positive, if we do a test 20 times, 1 will be wrong Type II: false negative, did not have enough information to tell the truth |
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Term
How do you compare Mean values? |
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Definition
t-Test (Student's t-Test) |
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Term
How do you compare Median values? |
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Definition
Non-parametric tests (Wilcoxon rank sum, Kruskall Willis) --Just means the sample size was not a bell curve |
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Term
How do you compare Proportions? |
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Definition
Chi Square or Fisher's Exact test - test categorical data "yes/no", %'s |
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Term
What are Measures of Effect? |
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Definition
Express how two groups or populations differ with regard to a measure of Dz frequency (I, CI, P) |
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Term
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Definition
Relative risk is a ratio measure (not rate or proportion). A ratio is a measure of something in one population divided by the measurement of that same something in another population. |
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Term
What does it mean when RR does NOT = 1? |
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Definition
There is a statistical association between E (exposure) and D (Dz) -E is predictive of or associated with D |
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Term
What does it mean when RR DOES = 1? |
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Definition
There is no association between exposure and Dz -E is NOT predictive of D |
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Term
What is Medical Surveillance? |
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Definition
The ongoing, systematic collection, analysis, and interpretation of outcome-specific data for use in the planning, implementation, and evaluation of public health practice --Active: system in which the public health unit contacts reporting sources to elicit reports --Passive: system in which information is received from physicians as mandates by law |
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Term
What are the goals of serveillance? |
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Definition
-Estimate magnitude of problem -Detection of Dz outbreaks -Development of clues about possible risk factors -Finding of cases for further investigation -Anticipation of health service needs |
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Term
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Definition
An epidemic that occurs suddenly and within a relatively defined geographic area |
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Term
What are the three components of an outbreak? |
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Definition
1. A pathogen in sufficient quantities to affect multiple persons 2. An appropriate mode of transmitting the pathogen to susceptible persons; person-to-person; common source exposure 3. An adequate pool of susceptible persons who are exposed to the pathogen |
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Term
What are the important investigational steps with an outbreak? |
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Definition
1. Verify that there is an outbreak 2. Survey cases and contacts 3. Formulate hypotheses for causation and spread 4. Plan and conduct a field investigation 5. By a Hazmat suit and a machine gun 6. Analyze data using appropriate statistical tests 7. Test hypotheses against data 8. Formulate conclusions 9. Initiate control measures 10. Prepare a report for comparison to other outbreaks 11. Media interaction |
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