A) Norms of Activity (e.g. national average rates of hip replacements)
The advantages of this approach are:
1/It provides a check on horizontal equity: equal access for equal needs.
2/It is conceptually simple and can be done on a spreadsheet.
3/It only needs data on activity rates from one standard population. So, for example, it can be used to check the equity within a population by applying the population rate to age structures of different subpopulations: different geographic areas,
socio-economic or ethnic groups.
4/It is possible to consider the effects on the levels of resources required of changes in utilization and changes in medical technology explicitly and separately. For example, in other areas of surgery the requirement for hospital beds has been
reduced strikingly by innovations such as reducing lengths of stay, laparoscopic procedures and day surgery.
5/For some conditions, current activity rates are appropriate because virtually everyone with the condition receives care. so the method can be useful
for estimating the effect of possible future changes in the population structure or in the resources needed to provide the service, as you have done here. e.g. people with ESRF are surviving longer, impact of this
on extended survival on numbers needing dialysis?
The disadvantages of this approach are:
1/It is difficult to handle more than three or four explanatory or predictor variables. Also, age and sex may be poor predictors of the variable to be estimated. (Another approach is to estimate using regression equations. This allows many predictor
variables, but requires data on many populations.)
2/For procedures like elective surgery, it cannot be assumed that current levels of activity are appropriate.
B) Epidemiologically-based needs assessment
Epidemiology & norms for coverage :
-behind the use if activity based norms there is a conceptual leap from population numbers to appropriate levels of health care utilization
- e.g have epidemiological data on determinants of disease in population but not on determinants or indicators for trx
-in thus situation there is a case for using epidem data to make 1/ estimates of prevalence & 2/make assumptions about proportion of prevalent cases who will have the indications for treatment. This is called epidemiologically-based needs assessment
Adv of this approach
-For some diseases good epidemiological data are available & almost all prevalent cases will require trx
-It is possible to consider the effects of changes in disease prevalence & changes in medical technology
Disadvantages
- For some Cdx r/ship btw prevalence if disease & need for care is weak
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