“Causes of the Russian mortality crisis: Evidence and interpretations.” World Development, 26(11), 1995-2011.
present ssome of the important available information about the sharp rise in mortality in Russia and to examine the causes of the crisis
- Trends in Russian life expectancy before and after 1992
- Russian life expectancy decreased slightly between 1960 and early 1980s
- Increased between 1985 and 1987 due to anti-alcohol campaign
- Experienced dramatic drop between 1992 and 1994
- Increased slightly in recent years
- Main causes of death over this time period were cardiovascular disease and accidents/injuries
- Increased death rates occurred primarily in mid-adulthood, not at youngest and oldest ages
- In 1984, the probability that a 20 year old Russian male would die before age 60 was 35%; by 1994 this had increased to 48%
- Although wide variation existed in official causes of death (accidents, TB, CVD, etc.) authors argues that many of these deaths could be linked to alcohol abuse
- Mortality increases in different population strata
- Gender gap in life expectancy widened between 1960-1994 from 7 years to 13.7 years
- Urban-rural gap decreased over this period due to increased death rates in urban areas
- Education gradient increased over this period (big decline in life expectancy for those with low education)
- Increased mortality disadvantage for single, widowed, and divorced men due to external causes compared to married men
- Some common explanations for the mortality increase that are poorly supported by the evidence include mass impoverishment and malnutrition, deterioration of the health care system, and ecological factors (such as pollution)
- Explanations that are better supported by evidence include increase in alcohol abuse due to maladaption and psychological stress under changing economic and social conditions
- This theory is supported by the fact that some population groups, such as the married and the educated, who most likely had greater psychological resources and support, did not experience dramatic increases in mortality
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