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Statistical Analysis
ANOVA & Multiple Regression
45
Mathematics
Graduate
03/31/2013

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Cards

Term
sphericity
Definition
observations are independent
rsubij = 0 (for i does not = j)
Term
Rosenthal Rosnow
Definition
god loves .06 nearly as much as .05
problems with "reject/fail to reject" decisions in null hypothesis testing
Term
Correlation Index
Definition
We can determine if there is a relationship, how strong the relationship is (1, -1), and in what direction that relationship follow (+/-)
Term
Y'=a+bX
Line of Best Fit
Definition
a is the y-intercept and b is the slope. X is a predictor or regressor and Y is the criterion variable
Line fits the data better than any other line.
Term
Regression Line
Definition
can predict, explain, account for, or represent some of the variability in Y--but not all of it.
Term
Y=a + bX + e
Definition
Line of best Fit plus the residual (unexplainable part of Y)
Term
Residual
Definition
Model cannot predict this part of Y; minimize the residual
Term
Coefficient of Determination
Definition
All the variability we can predict using X to predict Y. r^2=SSreg/SStotal
Term
Coefficient of Alienation
Definition
All the variability we cannot predict using X to predict Y.Proportion of variance in Y that is not predictable.
1-r^2=SSresid/SStotal
Term
Regression slope
Definition
The magnitude of 'b' represents the expected change in Y given a one-unit change in X.
Term
Least Squares Criterion
Definition
smallest possible squared residuals--fits the data better than any other
Term
Variance of Estimate
Definition
MSresidual-variance of the points around the prediction line
Term
Standard Error of Estimate
Definition
RMSE-Std. Deviation of the points around regression line. Typical size of the prediction errors.
Term
Hypothesis Testing in Linear Regression
Definition
Hypothesize about the population coefficient of determination.
Hypothesize about the population value of the regression weight (slope).
Term
Multiple Regression Models
Definition
Better prediction
Analyze variables in combination
Control of extraneous variables
Term
Partial Regression Coefficients
Definition
Expected change in Y, given a one-unit change in X, while holding constant all of the other Xs.
Term
Tolerance
1-R^2i.Xs
Definition
0 to 1, the extent to which this predictor is not predictable from the other predictors; unique variance.
Term
Multicolinearity
Definition
When tolerance becomes 0, the denominator is infinity
Term
H0 : R^2 Change Test
Definition
Analyze if the rho between two equations.
Do X2 and X3 add to the predictability of Y after adjusting for X1? If not, then there is no sense in collecting other predictors.
Term
Partial Correlation Coefficients
Definition
The PPMC between two variables from which the effects of one (or more) other variables have been removed (partialled).
Statistical control for confounding variables.
Symmetric
Term
Spurious Correlation
Definition
Conceptually false correlation. Appears because of the indfluence from another variable. Once it is controlled, the correlation disappears.
Term
Zero-Order Correlation
Definition
0 Control
Term
r2 (r correlation coefficient)
Definition
The proportion of the variance in Y explained by knowing that it is related to X.
Term
r12.3
Definition
1st order correlation
Term
Residuals
Definition
Completely uncorrelated with any of the regressors that give rise to those residuals. Any variable that is a predictor that gave rise to those residuals will be zero.
Term
e1
Definition
predicted residuals from the regression
Term
e2
Definition
predicted residuals from the 2nd regression
Term
Partialing
Definition
Distort relationships, computes all possible partial correlations.
Term
semi-partial correlation coefficient
Definition
PPMC between two variables from which the effects of one (or more) other variables have been removed (partialed) from ONLY ONE of the two variables.
The correlation between X1 and X2 with the effects of X3 removed from X2 only.
Not symmetric
Term
Variance partitioning
Definition
Tempting but stupid!
Comparison of R2 and changes in R2 amounts to compare squared semi-partial correlation coefficients of different orders.
Term
Suppressor variable
Definition
A variable that is uncorrelated with one of the original variables, yet when it is partialled out, the relationship between the two original variables increases.
Term
Predictive Regression
Definition
Do not need theory in Y^ models; focus on R^2
obtain the largest value of R2 with the smallest # of predictors.
Term
Explanatory Regression
Definition
Intimately involved in theory. Focus on the slope, not necessarily for practical reasons.
Estimate the magnitude of the processes related to an outcome.
Term
Forward Regression
Definition
Select the predictor with largest 0 order correlation. Then select the predictor with the largest squared 1st order semi-partial correlation. Select the predictor with the largest squared 2nd order semi-partial correlation. Continue to add variables until you fail to reject on the change R2 test.
Term
Backward Regression
Definition
Start with ALL predictors.
Remove the predictor with the smallest order squared semi-partial correlation. Continue to remove until the change in R2 test is statistically significant. Put back the last removed variable then Quit.
Term
Stepwise Regression
Definition
Start with the single best predictor.
Add the next best available predictor.
Remove non-contributing regressors after change in R2 shows no statistical signifigance.
Term
Beta
Definition
Failure to reject a null hypothesis-wrong decision
Type II error
Term
Alpha
Definition
Type I error-rejecting a null hypothesis that is true.
Term
Substantive Signifigance
Definition
Does adding the variable make the model more meaningful?
Term
Shrinkage of R2
Definition
The difference in R2 values between the obtained value in sample 1 and sample 2. Least squares approximation of slopes.
Term
Less Shrinkage
Definition
Increase N
Decrease k
Increase R2
Term
Effect Size
Definition
Cohen's F Test f2
f2 = R2/1-R2

small .02
medium .15
large .35
Term
Prediction Models
Definition
Use R2 or shrunken R2
Use variance of estimate or Std. Error
Compute Std. Error and Confidence bands for individual predictions
Term
Outliers
Definition
unusual patterns of values on the variables
Term
Influence
Definition
Extent to which the observation forces the equation to fit.
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