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Statistics Exam 2
Exam 2 vocab
38
Mathematics
Undergraduate 2
03/19/2013

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Term
inferetial statistics
Definition
mathematical techniques that allow us to make decisions, estimates, or predictions about a larger group of individuals (a population) based on the data collected from a much smaller group (a sample)
Term
z-score
Definition
represents the number of standard deviations away from the mean a score falls
Term
distribution of sample mens (DSM)
Definition
shows the means of many samples drawn from one particular population
Term
central limit theorem
Definition
when a distribution of sample means is created from large samples (N greater than or equal to 30), the DSM will resemble a normal distribution regardless of whether the samples were drawn from a population that was distributed normally or non-normally
Term
single-sample formal test of hypothesis
Definition
provides the mean of a particular population (mu) and the mean of a sample (x-bar) and the test will allow us to decide whether the sample could have been drawn from the known population or if the sample must have been drawn from a different population
Term
known population
Definition
the population for which we are told mu
Term
population from which the sample was drawn
Definition
we do not know, until the end of the problem, whether the sample comes from the known population or from a different population, so we refer to it as this before / during testing
Term
null hypothesis (H0)
Definition
the hypothesis that statistical tools can demonstrate is highly unlikely (can disprove); contradicts the Ha; taking into account every other possibility than the one the researcher is hoping to demonstrate true
Term
alternative hypothesis
Definition
what the researcher wants to demonstrate is true (differs from status quo)
Term
directional hypotheses
Definition
if we suspect that mu for the population from which the sample was drawn will be less than or greater than the known population mean then our hypothesis is directional (lower-tailed, or upper-tailed)
Term
non-directional hypotheses
Definition
if we can't predict whether mu for the population from which the sample was drawn will be less than or greater than the known population mean, but we believe it will be different than the known population we state that mu does not equal a particular value (two tailed)
Term
rejection region
Definition
an area on the DSM for the known population that represents where the sample mean must fall before we will reject the null hypothesis
Term
alpha (Lesson 5)
Definition
the value set before conducting a statistical test that indicates how rare a sample must be before we will decide that it does not come from the known population
Term
upper-tailed hypothesis
Definition
states that the population from which the sample was drawn has a mean higher than the known population
Term
lower-tailed hypothesis
Definition
states that the population from which the sample was drawn has a mean lower than the known population
Term
two-tailed hypothesis
Definition
states that the population from which the sample was drawn has mean different than the known population
Term
critical value (Lesson 5)
Definition
a z- or t- score we get from a probability table that indicates how far the sample mean (x-bar) must be from the mean of the DSM (mu sub x-bar) before the sample is considered very rare; indicates the boundary of the rejection region
Term
t-distribution
Definition
much like the z-distribution (mound-shaped, symmetrical, with a mean of 0) but it is wider--reflecting the higher variability of sample means for smaller sample sizes
Term
degrees of freedom
Definition
df = n -1
Term
decision rules (lesson 5)
Definition
state in words what has to be true for us to reject the null hypothesis -- what has to be true for our sample mean to fall in the rejection region
Term
calculated value (lesson 5)
Definition
the z-or t-score for the sample mean we were given; it is obtained by using a formula; it indcates how far the sample mean (x-bar) actually is from the mean of the DSM (mu sub x-bar)
Term
assumptions (lesson 5)
Definition
conditions that must be met in order for our hypothesis-testing conclusion to be valid
Term
S sub x-bar
Definition
Standard Deviation of a Distribution of Sample Means
Term
Type I error
Definition
the researcher concludes -- on the basis of the sample data they have -- that there really is a difference between populations, when in truth there is no difference between the populations (the sample comes from the known population)
Term
Type II error
Definition
the researcher concludes -- on the basis of the sample data they have -- that there is no difference between populations, when in truth there is a difference between the populations ( the sample comes from a population other than the known population)
Term
power
Definition
the "sensitivity" of the test -- it is the probability that a statistical test will lead to a decision to reject the H0 when H0 is indeed false
Term
exact p-value
Definition
the exact probability of obtaining, from the known population, a sample as rare or more rare than the one we were given
Term
sample statistics
Definition
descriptive statistics calculated for sample data; the sample mean (x-bar) is an example
Term
population parameters
Definition
descriptive statistics calculated for data from an entire population; the population mean (mu) is an example
Term
point estimator
Definition
a single number that represents a population parameter
Term
interval estimator
Definition
a range of values around a sample statistic that estimates a population parameter
Term
confidence interval
Definition
estimates the mean of a population (mu) from which the sample was drawn by calculating a range of values around the sample mean (x-bar) that is highly likely to include the mean of the entire population (mu) -- with 0.90, 0.95, 0.99
Term
confidence level
Definition
for each CI you calculate, will be expressed as a percentage: 90%, 95%, 99%
Term
confidence coefficient
Definition
the probability that the CI encloses the population mean. Depending on the confidence level, the confidence coefficient might be 0.90, 0.95, 0.99
Term
alpha (lesson 7)
Definition
the probability that the confidence interval does not enclose the population mean (1 - confidence coefficient)
Term
critical values (lesson 7)
Definition
z-scores or t-scores that are upper and lower boundaries of the confidence interval
Term
precise CI estimate
Definition
provides a narrow range of values into which we believe the population mean will fall
Term
reliable CI estimate
Definition
an estimate with a high confidence level
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